“Trueo has announced plans to move its prediction market protocol from Base to Ethereum mainnet and asked users to avoid new Base markets expiring after January 31, 2027. Summary Trueo plans to move prediction markets from Base to Ethereum while existing markets continue operating. January 31, 2027 is Trueo’s cutoff for creating new Base markets”, — write on: www.crypto.news
Trueo has announced plans to move its prediction market protocol from Base to Ethereum mainnet and asked users to avoid new Base markets expiring after January 31, 2027.
Summary
- Trueo plans to move prediction markets from Base to Ethereum while existing markets continue operating.
- January 31, 2027 is Trueo’s cutoff for creating new Base markets with later expirations there.
- TRUE holders will receive open-ended migration windows, with future staking rewards moving to Ethereum mainnet.
- Vitalik Buterin praised Trueo’s decentralization focus and interest in meaningful prediction-market applications on Ethereum L1.
- Trueo’s official deployment documentation still lists Base contracts, showing the Ethereum migration remains incomplete.
Trueo said in its migration announcement that the Base application will remain available while the Ethereum deployment is prepared. Trading, market resolution and redemptions will continue, while existing markets will remain accessible through their expiries. The project said TYD used as collateral will keep earning yield during the transition.
Launched on Base in March 2025, the protocol runs binary YES-or-NO prediction markets onchain. Trueo’s documentation describes trading as non-custodial, with transactions executed directly onchain through a custom Uniswap v4 hook. TYD serves as the payment asset for current market positions and oracle bonds under the present deployment.
Trueo keeps Base markets running during Ethereum move
For existing users, the migration will not immediately shut down the Base version. Trueo said markets expiring during 2026 can still be created there, while existing markets will continue operating under their current settlement system. New market ideas requiring an expiry after January 31, 2027 should wait for the Ethereum instance, according to the project.
TRUE, the protocol’s governance and oracle token, will move to Ethereum through an open-ended migration. Trueo has not announced a deadline for token holders to complete the process. The project said future staking and liquidity incentives will operate on Ethereum once the new deployment becomes available.
Current public data shows that the move has not been completed. Trueo’s official deployment documentation still lists its TruthMarketManager, OracleCouncil, OracleBonds, OrderManager and market master contracts on Base mainnet. No Ethereum mainnet deployment addresses appear on that page.
DefiLlama’s Sept. 22 snapshot attributes all $796,126.31 of tracked Trueo TVL to Base. The same data records $9,727.92 in DEX volume during the previous 30 days and identifies Base as holding 100% of tracked protocol TVL.
Ethereum liquidity and integrations drove Trueo’s decision
Explaining its decision, Trueo cited Ethereum’s network effects, available liquidity, integration options and long-term infrastructure. The team said lower execution costs on Ethereum have made mainnet more practical for its product, while the network’s roadmap offers what Trueo described as a neutral and predictable base for development.
Trueo framed Base as useful during the protocol’s earlier experimental period instead of criticizing the Coinbase-linked Layer 2. The team said Ethereum better fits its intended model of a widely integrated, permissionless and highly immutable prediction market, while liquidity growth and reduced trust assumptions remain priorities for the next deployment.
Ethereum’s existing DeFi environment formed another part of the project’s stated reasoning. Trueo said direct access to Ethereum applications and liquidity could provide more integration paths. The team described the Ethereum L1 prediction-market field as less crowded than several competing blockchain environments, presenting that assessment as part of its own migration case.
Vitalik Buterin praises Trueo’s prediction market model
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin responded publicly on Sept. 21, welcoming what he described as a new prediction-market contender on Ethereum L1. Buterin praised Trueo’s stated focus on decentralization and ethical design, calling it “not corposlop” and saying prediction markets could be used for “interesting and meaningful things.”
Glad to see that Ethereum L1 will have a new strong prediction market contender that is dedicated to decentralization, and being ethical and not corposlop, and to actually trying to do interesting and meaningful things with this class of economic primitive.…
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) September 21, 2026
His response follows months of public criticism of some prediction-market products. As crypto.news reported in February, Buterin warned that the sector was becoming heavily focused on short-duration cryptocurrency price wagers and sports betting. He described the direction as an “unhealthy product market fit” and discussed hedging and real-world risk management as other possible uses.
In related crypto.news coverage, Buterin proposed prediction-market-style mechanisms as one layer of future onchain governance, paired with a separate preference-setting system intended to resist capture. His latest Trueo comments did not announce an Ethereum Foundation partnership, grant, investment or other formal arrangement with the project.
Trueo plans a new oracle system on Ethereum
Trueo said work surrounding the Ethereum deployment will include a next-generation oracle system for disputed prediction-market outcomes. The migration announcement did not give a launch date or publish Ethereum contract addresses, leaving the Base contracts as the only deployment currently listed in Trueo’s public documentation.
The current protocol uses an optimistic resolution process. Trueo’s resolution documentation says any participant can propose an outcome once a market meets its resolution criteria, beginning a 12-hour challenge period. If nobody raises a valid dispute, the proposed result becomes final at the end of the window.
When a participant challenges an outcome, Trueo’s existing dispute path can move through several levels. The Oracle Council handles an early arbitration stage, followed by escalation to TRUE holders when a further challenge meets the required conditions. At the final level, the protocol randomly selects 11 attesters to determine the market outcome and applicable slashing conditions.
Market definitions are committed onchain when users create them. Trueo records the market question, approved resolution sources and supporting resolution information as immutable strings, according to its documentation. The project says the setup prevents the written market terms from being changed after deployment.
Its published integrity standards prohibit markets that directly create incentives for targeted violence, terrorism, self-harm or other dangerous conduct. Markets lacking clear, publicly verifiable resolution criteria must be canceled under the protocol’s stated rules.
Trueo has not published a deadline for launching its Ethereum deployment or completing the TRUE token migration. During the transition, the project says Base trading, resolution and redemptions will continue, while future staking and liquidity reward programs are scheduled to operate on Ethereum after the mainnet instance goes live.